Thursday, October 26, 2006

POTENTIAL WINNERS AND LOSERS
Industry sectors that could prosper or suffer if Democrats gain control of Congress:

Winners

Government-sponsored enterprises
Dems favor less regulation for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac

Life sciences providers
Dems support more generous funding of National Institutes of Health

Alternative energy
Dems worried about global warming

Life insurers
Dems don't support lower estate taxes, could boost insurance demand

Losers

Drugs/biotech
Dems want Medicare to negotiate drug prices

Oil/energy services
Dems favor energy conservation via taxes

Coal
Less efficient than natural gas, alternative fuels

Telecom
Dems favor "net neutrality," generally less friendly to big Bells

Student lending/ for-profit education
Dems favor direct lending, not-for-profit universities

Restaurants
Dems favor higher minimum wages, support obesity suits

Tobacco
Dems favor tougher regulation, support class-action suits

Property & casualty insurance
Dems less supportive of tort reform

Government information technology
Dems less supportive of outsourcing

Source: UBS

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